The entry of Aam Adami Party (AAP) headed by Arvind Kejriwal, Chief Minister of New Delhi and AAP National Convener into the electoral politics of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s home state Gujarat has raised the eyebrows of many a political onlooker more than the average voter. Although the party leaders publicly boast of unseating the 27years old BJP regime the real big dream of them is to garner at least six percent of the vote share to entitle themselves to a new national party.
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| Image Source: ANI photo |
BJP and INC vote share intact so far: Interestingly in Gujarat, the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in power for the last 27 years, and the Indian National Congress (INC), the opposition party for the same period of time continue to enjoy the same trends of the voter base. In 2017 Congress almost came close to corridors of power with 77 seats and 42 percent of the vote share. But, it remained uneven in comparison to its adversary BJP with 99 seats and 48 percent of votes.
Question of 32+ for BJP and 60+ for INC: According to Milan Desai, General Secretary of Gujarat Pradesh Congress Committee, “the issue before the main rivals BJP and INC is on managing the +32 and +60 seats respectively. He says irrespective of the permutations and combinations the BJP and INC are sure of 60 and 33 seats respectively. But, the real big challenge to both of them is in managing the remaining 32+ and 60+ seats crucial for a simple majority.
INC exodus strengthens BJP: He further states-“The BJP had won only six seats more than the magic number 93, required for a simple majority last time i.e., 99. But 17 of the 77 Congress MLAs changed sides for green.
AAP is nothing but a B team of BJP: Milan Desai hopes of enhancing the party vote share this time-“This time also we expect to gain the same number of 77 seats and increase the vote share further. Thanks to AAP, the B team of BJP we are bound to gain in garnering public support northwards”.
AAP aims for six percent: But AAP intends to ensure a minimum of six percent of the vote share apart from making tall claims of coming to power. This six percent is crucial for the now Delhi, Punjab party to ensure it is being called a national party.
Rs 5-8 crores in each constituency: Sanjay Amirani, former IAS officer turned Congressman says-“AAP may win two seats in South Gujarat and about 4-6 seats in the state. But, it has neither organization nor Booth agents in the seats it is contesting BJP. The ruling party is dumping Rs 5-8 crores in each constituency while we are struggling for funds”.
Ravana remark may cost 3-5 percent: Thanks to the Ravana outbursts of Mallikarjun Kharge, President AICC, the party may have to shelve 3-5 percent further say, observers.
-Manohar Yadavatti
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